World
Will the US–Iran ceasefire continue through October?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
74%
0 pp · 7 days
Oct 31, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Topics
World
Political decisions and international events. A market estimate reflects participant expectations. It cannot replace official confirmation or establish why a price changed.
Current questions
World
Russia–Ukraine ceasefire agreement deadlines
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
2.7%
-1.8 pp · 7 days
Nov 1, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
World
Next French presidential election contracts
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
46%
+4.8 pp · 7 days
Apr 19, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
World
Israel's next prime minister after the election
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
30.5%
-6 pp · 7 days
Oct 28, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
How to read these markets
All guidesLearn · two different measurements01
Polymarket versus polls: why the percentages are different
How a market probability differs from a poll response share: question wording, sample, observation time and evaluating forecast accuracy.
Read the guideFrom question to result02
Polymarket rules and market resolution
Understand what determines YES/NO, why sources and deadlines matter and why closed does not always mean resolved.
Read the guideWhen a result is challenged03
Polymarket disputes: proposals and challenged resolutions
Understand disputed Polymarket resolutions: proposed versus final outcomes, the UMA challenge period, evidence and why deadlines do not guarantee finality.
Read the guide