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SOURCE SNAPSHOT

UEFA Champions League winner 2026–27

Selected teams are Paris Saint-Germain, Arsenal and Manchester City. These are only part of the full event's field, so their displayed prices are not a complete set of contenders and should not be automatically normalized to 100%.

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Market estimate / Yes

15.5%
7 days+3 pp
30 days+3 pp

Price basis: Bid/ask midpoint

Probability history

0%50%100%
Recorded source observations · CLOB price historyOct 9, 2026 — Oct 16, 2026

This number reflects a source price. It is not a certainty, a personal forecast or an executable offer.

CONTRACTS

Outcomes

These contracts ask separate questions. Their probabilities must not be added together.

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes15.5%Bid/ask midpoint
No84.5%Bid/ask midpoint

Contract deadline · per API: May 30, 2027, 11:59:00 PM UTC

Settlement uses the 2026–27 UEFA Champions League winner. Eliminated teams can resolve early to NO. Cancellation, postponement beyond 23:59 ET on June 19, 2027, or no declared winner by then selects Other. Official UEFA information is primary; a credible reporting consensus may also be used.

Original source rules (English)

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules version: d3e1ccb25e0287b348ea4a2b05397872d637f3de549539520c9fd553c47c27cf

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes13.5%Bid/ask midpoint
No86.5%Bid/ask midpoint

Contract deadline · per API: Jun 20, 2027, 03:59:00 AM UTC

Settlement uses the 2026–27 UEFA Champions League winner. Eliminated teams can resolve early to NO. Cancellation, postponement beyond 23:59 ET on June 19, 2027, or no declared winner by then selects Other. Official UEFA information is primary; a credible reporting consensus may also be used.

Original source rules (English)

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules version: 1e6e46ae7dda6d88ff530b1eb41818ab65079e8a656b886c12c1487709048eaa

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes6.5%Bid/ask midpoint
No93.5%Bid/ask midpoint

Contract deadline · per API: Jun 20, 2027, 03:59:00 AM UTC

Settlement uses the 2026–27 UEFA Champions League winner. Eliminated teams can resolve early to NO. Cancellation, postponement beyond 23:59 ET on June 19, 2027, or no declared winner by then selects Other. Official UEFA information is primary; a credible reporting consensus may also be used.

Original source rules (English)

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules version: aea22631258178cb88d4cc2a16d3465637dcaa8dbf2ea9c30e06d49a6811619b

How this question resolves

Editorial summary / translation. Original source rules remain authoritative.

Settlement uses the 2026–27 UEFA Champions League winner. Eliminated teams can resolve early to NO. Cancellation, postponement beyond 23:59 ET on June 19, 2027, or no declared winner by then selects Other. Official UEFA information is primary; a credible reporting consensus may also be used.

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