Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?
16%
-15 pp · 7 days
Event volume $7.9M
Nov 1, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
POLYMARKETSTARS / MARKET ATLAS
Polymarket crypto markets: Bitcoin, Ethereum and probabilities
Explore Bitcoin and Ethereum events on Polymarket: price-threshold probabilities, historical estimates, deadlines and contract conditions.
5 selected events14 contractsSnapshot ·
What a crypto market actually predicts
Touching a price threshold and the price at a closing time are different questions. Each event shows the selected contracts, price source and observation period. A Bitcoin prediction market is not the spot price of BTC.
Several threshold contracts can resolve YES together. Their probabilities should not automatically add to 100%. Compare contracts with matching deadlines and conditions.
POLYMARKETSTARS / EVENTS
Events and probabilities
A small selection. Every number has a context.
Crypto
Bitcoin price targets in 2026 on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
35.5%
-4 pp · 7 days
Event volume $76M
Jan 1, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Crypto
Ethereum $3,000 in 2026: the Polymarket contract
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
35.5%
-5 pp · 7 days
Event volume $18M
Jan 1, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Crypto
Ethereum price thresholds in October 2026
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?
2.2%
-1.7 pp · 7 days
Event volume $2.1M
Nov 1, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Crypto
Which Bitcoin price determines the October 21 contracts?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 21?
99.2%
No comparable change
Event volume $99.6K
Oct 21, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
How to read probabilities and deadlines
A card’s percentage refers to the selected contract’s YES outcome. A price of 0.64 is displayed as 64%. An event can contain several independent markets whose estimates do not automatically add up.
Each event shows its status, data retrieval time, rules and history when comparable observations exist. Missing values are shown with a dash; a passed deadline does not by itself confirm the result.
Understand the conditions
All guidesCrypto · a map of questions01
Crypto prediction markets: how to read the questions
Separate price thresholds, short intervals, releases and regulatory events without mixing their outcomes.
Read the guideCrypto · measurement source02
Which crypto price source determines a Polymarket result?
Why Binance, Chainlink and an app quote can differ: asset pairs, High versus Close, TWAP and the designated crypto resolution source.
Read the guideCrypto · condition timing03
Polymarket crypto deadlines: time zones, cutoffs and resolution
Check a BTC or ETH contract’s cutoff: ET versus UTC, observation boundaries, API dates and the separate confirmation of resolution.
Read the guideHow to read these markets
All guidesCrypto · a map of questions01
Crypto prediction markets: how to read the questions
Separate price thresholds, short intervals, releases and regulatory events without mixing their outcomes.
Read the guideCrypto · measurement source02
Which crypto price source determines a Polymarket result?
Why Binance, Chainlink and an app quote can differ: asset pairs, High versus Close, TWAP and the designated crypto resolution source.
Read the guideCrypto · condition timing03
Polymarket crypto deadlines: time zones, cutoffs and resolution
Check a BTC or ETH contract’s cutoff: ET versus UTC, observation boundaries, API dates and the separate confirmation of resolution.
Read the guide