Economy
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0.5%
-0.2 pp · 7 days
Event volume $54.5M
Jan 1, 2027
STALE
POLYMARKETSTARS / MARKET ATLAS
Follow Fed decision probabilities on Polymarket: rate cuts, individual meetings and the year-end rate. Compare conditions and deadlines.
A decision at one meeting, the number of cuts over a year and the resulting year-end rate describe different quantities. Similar percentages in their titles do not make the contracts interchangeable.
Check whether settlement uses the upper bound of the target range and how basis-point units are counted. API deadlines are displayed separately from the exact timing in the settlement rules.
POLYMARKETSTARS / EVENTS
A small selection. Every number has a context.
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Event volume $54.5M
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Event volume $45.2M
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Event volume $3.9M
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
Event volume $7.1M
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Event volume $1.1M
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
Event volume $1.9M
A card’s percentage refers to the selected contract’s YES outcome. A price of 0.64 is displayed as 64%. An event can contain several independent markets whose estimates do not automatically add up.
Each event shows its status, data retrieval time, rules and history when comparable observations exist. Missing values are shown with a dash; a passed deadline does not by itself confirm the result.
Read a Fed decision market: the specific FOMC meeting, upper rate bound, basis points, a hold and the contract's rounding rule.
Read the guideRead the final Fed rate: target range, upper bound, post-meeting observation, categories and the difference from cut counts or level touches.
Read the guideCheck CPI, GDP and FOMC calendars: reference period, ET release time, publication date, estimate vintages and contract-defined delay handling.
Read the guideRead a Fed decision market: the specific FOMC meeting, upper rate bound, basis points, a hold and the contract's rounding rule.
Read the guideRead the final Fed rate: target range, upper bound, post-meeting observation, categories and the difference from cut counts or level touches.
Read the guideCheck CPI, GDP and FOMC calendars: reference period, ET release time, publication date, estimate vintages and contract-defined delay handling.
Read the guide