Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?
16%
-15 pp · 7 days
Event volume $7.9M
Nov 1, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
POLYMARKETSTARS / MARKET ATLAS
Polymarket prediction markets: events and probabilities
Crypto, politics, economy, sports and technology. Choose an event, compare outcomes and explore the conditions alongside market probability history.
23 selected events65 contractsSnapshot ·
POLYMARKETSTARS / EVENTS
Events and probabilities
A small selection. Every number has a context.
World
Will the US–Iran ceasefire continue through October?
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
81%
+6 pp · 7 days
Event volume $15.3M
Oct 31, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Crypto
Bitcoin price targets in 2026 on Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
35.5%
-4 pp · 7 days
Event volume $76M
Jan 1, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Crypto
Ethereum $3,000 in 2026: the Polymarket contract
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
35.5%
-5 pp · 7 days
Event volume $18M
Jan 1, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Crypto
Ethereum price thresholds in October 2026
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?
2.2%
-1.7 pp · 7 days
Event volume $2.1M
Nov 1, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Economy
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0.5%
-0.3 pp · 7 days
Event volume $54.4M
Jan 1, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Economy
October 2026 Fed decision on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
86.5%
+3 pp · 7 days
Event volume $44.8M
Oct 29, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Economy
December 2026 Fed decision contracts
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
20.5%
-2 pp · 7 days
Event volume $3.8M
Dec 9, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Economy
The Fed rate at the end of 2026
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
0.3%
0 pp · 7 days
Event volume $7.1M
Jan 1, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Technology
Best AI model company at the end of 2026
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
39.5%
-3 pp · 7 days
Event volume $2.6M
Dec 31, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Technology
OpenAI IPO closing market-cap ranges
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
2.5%
+0.2 pp · 7 days
Event volume $490.7K
Jan 1, 2028
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Technology
Starship launches reaching space in 2026
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
34%
-9.5 pp · 7 days
Event volume $524.8K
Jan 1, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Technology
Two Starships docking in Earth orbit
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
2.8%
0 pp · 7 days
Event volume $75K
Jan 1, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Sports
UEFA Champions League winner 2026–27
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
15.5%
+3 pp · 7 days
Event volume $54M
May 30, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Sports
Champions League top scorer 2026–27
Will Ousmane Dembélé score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
9.5%
-0.5 pp · 7 days
Event volume $69.3K
Jun 19, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Sports
Champions League most assists 2026–27
Will Vitinha record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
2.8%
+1.4 pp · 7 days
Event volume $26.4K
Jun 19, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
World
Russia–Ukraine ceasefire agreement deadlines
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
2.2%
-1.9 pp · 7 days
Event volume $8.7M
Nov 1, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
World
Next French presidential election contracts
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
46.2%
+5.6 pp · 7 days
Event volume $152.3M
Apr 19, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
World
Israel's next prime minister after the election
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
27.5%
-8 pp · 7 days
Event volume $47.1M
Oct 28, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Crypto
Which Bitcoin price determines the October 21 contracts?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 21?
99.2%
No comparable change
Event volume $99.6K
Oct 21, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Technology
Which company will own the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
22.5%
-3 pp · 7 days
Event volume $2.7M
Oct 31, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
World
California governor election winner in 2026: contract conditions
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0.1%
0 pp · 7 days
Event volume $42M
Nov 4, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Sports
Real Madrid vs. Villarreal: match outcome
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?
100%
+27.5 pp · 7 days
Event volume $2.5M
Oct 10, 2026
STALEResolved
How to read probabilities and deadlines
A card’s percentage refers to the selected contract’s YES outcome. A price of 0.64 is displayed as 64%. An event can contain several independent markets whose estimates do not automatically add up.
Each event shows its status, data retrieval time, rules and history when comparable observations exist. Missing values are shown with a dash; a passed deadline does not by itself confirm the result.
Understand the conditions
All guidesMarket mechanics01
How does Polymarket work?
Events, contracts and outcomes: understand the relationship between positions, orders and confirmed results.
Read the guideReading the percentage02
Polymarket probabilities and odds
Read market percentages, convert them to decimal odds and distinguish probability changes from investment returns.
Read the guideFrom question to result03
Polymarket rules and market resolution
Understand what determines YES/NO, why sources and deadlines matter and why closed does not always mean resolved.
Read the guide