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Ethereum $3,000 in 2026: the Polymarket contract

A selected contract asks whether Ethereum will reach $3,000 before year-end. Its quote concerns the defined Binance ETH/USDT condition, rather than a promise of gains or a year-end closing-price forecast.

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?

Market estimate / Yes

35%
7 days-6.5 pp
30 days-8 pp

Price basis: Bid/ask midpoint

Probability history

0%50%100%
Recorded source observations · CLOB price historyOct 9, 2026 — Oct 16, 2026

This number reflects a source price. It is not a certainty, a personal forecast or an executable offer.

CONTRACTS

Outcomes

These contracts ask separate questions. Their probabilities must not be added together.

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes35%Bid/ask midpoint
No65%Bid/ask midpoint

Contract deadline · per API: Jan 1, 2027, 05:00:00 AM UTC

YES requires the high of a finalized one-minute Binance ETH/USDT candle to reach $3,000 between the contract's creation and 23:59 ET on December 31, 2026. Earlier prices and data from other exchanges or pairs do not count.

Original source rules (English)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Rules version: fb1364497866e5df709e1a0184c068f7e631bca57707e05d76a763a4404edc72

How this question resolves

Editorial summary / translation. Original source rules remain authoritative.

YES requires the high of a finalized one-minute Binance ETH/USDT candle to reach $3,000 between the contract's creation and 23:59 ET on December 31, 2026. Earlier prices and data from other exchanges or pairs do not count.

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