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Bitcoin predictions on Polymarket: BTC price thresholds

Explore 2026 Bitcoin price contracts on Polymarket: BTC thresholds, implied probabilities, history and deadlines.

3 selected events11 contractsSnapshot ·

Bitcoin touching a level versus its price on a date

Choose a time horizon first: an October contract and a year-end question can use different observation periods. Touching a threshold during the period does not mean Bitcoin will remain above it at the deadline.

The selected contracts depend on the specified exchange, one-minute candle and BTC/USDT pair. A card’s percentage is the selected YES outcome price, not Bitcoin’s expected return.

POLYMARKETSTARS / EVENTS

Events and probabilities

A small selection. Every number has a context.

3 events

How to read probabilities and deadlines

A card’s percentage refers to the selected contract’s YES outcome. A price of 0.64 is displayed as 64%. An event can contain several independent markets whose estimates do not automatically add up.

Each event shows its status, data retrieval time, rules and history when comparable observations exist. Missing values are shown with a dash; a passed deadline does not by itself confirm the result.

Understand the conditions

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