PolymarketStarsA WORLD OF PROBABILITIES
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POLYMARKETSTARS / MARKET ATLAS

SpaceX and Starship on Polymarket: launches and docking

Explore Starship prediction markets: launches reaching space and orbital docking, with probabilities, deadlines and settlement criteria.

2 selected events4 contractsSnapshot ·

Reaching space versus docking in orbit

A launch-count question can count reaching a specified altitude even if a later anomaly occurs. Successful landing is not automatically part of the condition.

Docking requires a physical connection under the specified orbital and duration requirements. Proximity or a component demonstration is not the same result.

POLYMARKETSTARS / EVENTS

Events and probabilities

A small selection. Every number has a context.

2 events

How to read probabilities and deadlines

A card’s percentage refers to the selected contract’s YES outcome. A price of 0.64 is displayed as 64%. An event can contain several independent markets whose estimates do not automatically add up.

Each event shows its status, data retrieval time, rules and history when comparable observations exist. Missing values are shown with a dash; a passed deadline does not by itself confirm the result.

Understand the conditions

All guides
Two answers to one question01

Polymarket Yes and No shares explained

Understand Polymarket Yes and No shares, negative question wording, complete outcome sets and why related markets are not automatically complements.

Read the guide
From question to result02

Polymarket rules and market resolution

Understand what determines YES/NO, why sources and deadlines matter and why closed does not always mean resolved.

Read the guide
When a result is challenged03

Polymarket disputes: proposals and challenged resolutions

Understand disputed Polymarket resolutions: proposed versus final outcomes, the UMA challenge period, evidence and why deadlines do not guarantee finality.

Read the guide