0 of the 6 covered markets resolved. This section covers the contracts selected for this article.
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Trading open
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Trading open
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Trading open
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Trading open
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Trading open
Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Trading open
Last successful check:
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Market estimate / Yes
87.5%
7 days+0.5 pp
30 days—
Price basis: Bid/ask midpoint
Probability history
Recorded source observations · CLOB price historyOct 11, 2026 — Oct 18, 2026
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What the displayed probability means
Selected question: “Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?”. The “Yes” outcome is priced at 87.5%. This is a market price for that contract, not a guarantee of the result.
What data is displayed
The selected contracts are listed below with their own outcomes, deadline and original rules. Charts use recorded observations only; period changes require comparable historical data.
CONTRACTS
Outcomes
These contracts ask separate questions. Their probabilities must not be added together.
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes87.5%Bid/ask midpoint
No12.5%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 26, 2026, 03:59:00 AM UTC
Each selected market resolves according to whether its named candidate wins Bulgaria’s next presidential election; any potential second round is included. The elections are expected in Fall 2026. Resolution is based on the result indicated by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, the market relies solely on official Bulgarian government results, specifically the CEC. If the election result is not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Original source rules (English)
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes0.1%Bid/ask midpoint
No100%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 26, 2026, 03:59:00 AM UTC
Each selected market resolves according to whether its named candidate wins Bulgaria’s next presidential election; any potential second round is included. The elections are expected in Fall 2026. Resolution is based on the result indicated by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, the market relies solely on official Bulgarian government results, specifically the CEC. If the election result is not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
How this question resolves
Editorial summary / translation. Original source rules remain authoritative.
Each selected market resolves according to whether its named candidate wins Bulgaria’s next presidential election; any potential second round is included. The elections are expected in Fall 2026. Resolution is based on the result indicated by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, the market relies solely on official Bulgarian government results, specifically the CEC. If the election result is not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
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This number reflects a source price. It is not a certainty, a personal forecast or an executable offer.
Original source rules (English)
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes0.1%Bid/ask midpoint
No100%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 26, 2026, 03:59:00 AM UTC
Each selected market resolves according to whether its named candidate wins Bulgaria’s next presidential election; any potential second round is included. The elections are expected in Fall 2026. Resolution is based on the result indicated by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, the market relies solely on official Bulgarian government results, specifically the CEC. If the election result is not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Original source rules (English)
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes0.1%Bid/ask midpoint
No100%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 26, 2026, 03:59:00 AM UTC
Each selected market resolves according to whether its named candidate wins Bulgaria’s next presidential election; any potential second round is included. The elections are expected in Fall 2026. Resolution is based on the result indicated by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, the market relies solely on official Bulgarian government results, specifically the CEC. If the election result is not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Original source rules (English)
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes0.1%Bid/ask midpoint
No99.9%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 26, 2026, 03:59:00 AM UTC
Each selected market resolves according to whether its named candidate wins Bulgaria’s next presidential election; any potential second round is included. The elections are expected in Fall 2026. Resolution is based on the result indicated by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, the market relies solely on official Bulgarian government results, specifically the CEC. If the election result is not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Original source rules (English)
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Yes0.1%Bid/ask midpoint
No100%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 26, 2026, 03:59:00 AM UTC
Each selected market resolves according to whether its named candidate wins Bulgaria’s next presidential election; any potential second round is included. The elections are expected in Fall 2026. Resolution is based on the result indicated by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, the market relies solely on official Bulgarian government results, specifically the CEC. If the election result is not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Original source rules (English)
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
47.9%
+7.6 pp · 7 days
Event volume $153M
Apr 19, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
PolymarketStars illustration
POLYMARKETSTARS EDITORIALRU / EN
Each selected Polymarket market asks a separate question: whether a named candidate will win Bulgaria’s next presidential election. The rules include any potential second round; this selection is not the event’s complete list of contracts.
What Yes and No mean
In each selected contract, Yes corresponds to the named candidate winning the next presidential election. No means that candidate is not the winner. These are separate markets for individually named candidates, not one all-outcomes contract.
The selection contains questions about Iliana Iotova, Nikolai Denkov, Blagomir Kotsev, Rosen Zhelyazkov, Kostadin Kostadinov, and Natalia Kiselova. The selected list does not establish that these are all possible candidates.
How a potential runoff is treated
The markets cover the next presidential election process, including any potential second round. The condition is therefore not limited to the first-round result: each candidate market resolves according to who ultimately wins the election.
The rules say Bulgaria’s presidential elections are expected in Fall 2026. This is an expectation about timing, not a win condition or confirmation of an election result.
Sources used to determine the result
The basis for resolution is the election result as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, the rules require relying solely on the official results reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria, or CEC.
Exception if the result remains unknown
If the election result is not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other. This is a specific exception; trading closure or the arrival of another date does not by itself establish that a contract has resolved.
