The selected markets ask whether ETH will be above one of six thresholds on October 21. They do not use just any price from that day: resolution depends on the Close price of a specific one-minute Binance ETH/USDT candle.
CONTRACT STATUS
Market status and results
0 of the 6 covered markets resolved. This section covers the contracts selected for this article.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on October 21?
Trading open
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 21?
Trading open
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 21?
Trading open
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 21?
Trading open
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 21?
Trading open
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21?
Trading open
Last successful check:
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on October 21?
Market estimate / Yes
99.3%
7 days—
30 days—
Price basis: Bid/ask midpoint
Probability history
Recorded source observations · CLOB price historyOct 14, 2026 — Oct 18, 2026
This number reflects a source price. It is not a certainty, a personal forecast or an executable offer.
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What the displayed probability means
Selected question: “Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on October 21?”. The “Yes” outcome is priced at 99.3%. This is a market price for that contract, not a guarantee of the result.
What data is displayed
The selected contracts are listed below with their own outcomes, deadline and original rules. Charts use recorded observations only; period changes require comparable historical data.
CONTRACTS
Outcomes
These contracts ask separate questions. Their probabilities must not be added together.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on October 21?
Yes99.3%Bid/ask midpoint
No0.8%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 21, 2026, 04:00:00 PM UTC
Each selected market resolves Yes if the final Close of the Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET on October 21 is strictly above the threshold in its question; otherwise it resolves No. The specified source is Binance ETH/USDT, not another exchange or trading pair. Precision follows the number of decimal places in the source.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 21?
Yes99%Bid/ask midpoint
No1.1%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 21, 2026, 04:00:00 PM UTC
Each selected market resolves Yes if the final Close of the Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET on October 21 is strictly above the threshold in its question; otherwise it resolves No. The specified source is Binance ETH/USDT, not another exchange or trading pair. Precision follows the number of decimal places in the source.
How this question resolves
Editorial summary / translation. Original source rules remain authoritative.
Each selected market resolves Yes if the final Close of the Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET on October 21 is strictly above the threshold in its question; otherwise it resolves No. The specified source is Binance ETH/USDT, not another exchange or trading pair. Precision follows the number of decimal places in the source.
PolymarketStars does not execute trades. Platform availability and terms are determined by Polymarket.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 21?
Yes96.4%Bid/ask midpoint
No3.6%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 21, 2026, 04:00:00 PM UTC
Each selected market resolves Yes if the final Close of the Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET on October 21 is strictly above the threshold in its question; otherwise it resolves No. The specified source is Binance ETH/USDT, not another exchange or trading pair. Precision follows the number of decimal places in the source.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 21?
Yes92%Bid/ask midpoint
No8.1%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 21, 2026, 04:00:00 PM UTC
Each selected market resolves Yes if the final Close of the Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET on October 21 is strictly above the threshold in its question; otherwise it resolves No. The specified source is Binance ETH/USDT, not another exchange or trading pair. Precision follows the number of decimal places in the source.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 21?
Yes76%Bid/ask midpoint
No24%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 21, 2026, 04:00:00 PM UTC
Each selected market resolves Yes if the final Close of the Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET on October 21 is strictly above the threshold in its question; otherwise it resolves No. The specified source is Binance ETH/USDT, not another exchange or trading pair. Precision follows the number of decimal places in the source.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21?
Yes41.5%Bid/ask midpoint
No58.5%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 21, 2026, 04:00:00 PM UTC
Each selected market resolves Yes if the final Close of the Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET on October 21 is strictly above the threshold in its question; otherwise it resolves No. The specified source is Binance ETH/USDT, not another exchange or trading pair. Precision follows the number of decimal places in the source.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
A market resolves Yes if the final Close price of the Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET on October 21 is strictly higher than the threshold in that market's question. Otherwise, it resolves No.
The condition is therefore about the close of that specific candle, not whether the price touched the threshold earlier in the day. If the Close equals the threshold, it is not higher, so the Yes condition is not met.
Price source and precision
Resolution uses Binance ETH/USDT and the candle's Close value. Prices on other exchanges or in other trading pairs do not replace that source. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places shown by the source.
How the selected contracts differ
This selection contains six separate thresholds: $1,900, $2,000, $2,100, $2,200, $2,300, and $2,400. Each has its own Yes/No question, while the time, candle, and price-source rules are the same.
This explainer covers only the listed contracts, not necessarily every market in the event. Each outcome compares the Close with the threshold in its own question; the selected markets should not be treated as mutually exclusive or their probabilities added together.
