2027 FIFA Women's World Cup winner markets on Polymarket
How the selected markets for the United States, Spain, England, Germany, France and Japan resolve, including the tournament cancellation and delay exceptions.
Yes requires the named team to win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup. If that team can no longer win under FIFA rules, its contract resolves No; cancellation, a postponement beyond the stated cutoff, or no winner declared by then can instead lead to Other.
CONTRACT STATUS
Market status and results
0 of the 6 covered markets resolved. This section covers the contracts selected for this article.
Will United States win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?
Trading open
Will Spain win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?
Trading open
Will England win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?
Trading open
Will Germany win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?
Trading open
Will France win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?
Trading open
Will Japan win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?
Trading open
Last successful check:
Will United States win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?
Market estimate / Yes
26%
7 days-2 pp
30 days—
Price basis: Bid/ask midpoint
Probability history
Recorded source observations · CLOB price historyOct 12, 2026 — Oct 19, 2026
This number reflects a source price. It is not a certainty, a personal forecast or an executable offer.
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What the displayed probability means
Selected question: “Will United States win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?”. The “Yes” outcome is priced at 26%. This is a market price for that contract, not a guarantee of the result.
What data is displayed
The selected contracts are listed below with their own outcomes, deadline and original rules. Charts use recorded observations only; period changes require comparable historical data.
CONTRACTS
Outcomes
These contracts ask separate questions. Their probabilities must not be added together.
Will United States win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?
Yes26%Bid/ask midpoint
No74%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Jul 26, 2027, 03:59:00 AM UTC
Each contract resolves according to which team wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup. If it becomes impossible for the named team to win under FIFA rules, for example after elimination, its contract resolves No. If the tournament is canceled, postponed beyond August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by that time, the outcome is Other. The primary source is official FIFA information; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup per the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Contract deadline · per API: Jul 26, 2027, 03:59:00 AM UTC
Each contract resolves according to which team wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup. If it becomes impossible for the named team to win under FIFA rules, for example after elimination, its contract resolves No. If the tournament is canceled, postponed beyond August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by that time, the outcome is Other. The primary source is official FIFA information; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup per the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Contract deadline · per API: Jul 26, 2027, 03:59:00 AM UTC
Each contract resolves according to which team wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup. If it becomes impossible for the named team to win under FIFA rules, for example after elimination, its contract resolves No. If the tournament is canceled, postponed beyond August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by that time, the outcome is Other. The primary source is official FIFA information; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup per the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Contract deadline · per API: Jul 26, 2027, 03:59:00 AM UTC
Each contract resolves according to which team wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup. If it becomes impossible for the named team to win under FIFA rules, for example after elimination, its contract resolves No. If the tournament is canceled, postponed beyond August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by that time, the outcome is Other. The primary source is official FIFA information; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup per the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Contract deadline · per API: Jul 26, 2027, 03:59:00 AM UTC
Each contract resolves according to which team wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup. If it becomes impossible for the named team to win under FIFA rules, for example after elimination, its contract resolves No. If the tournament is canceled, postponed beyond August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by that time, the outcome is Other. The primary source is official FIFA information; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup per the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Contract deadline · per API: Jul 26, 2027, 03:59:00 AM UTC
Each contract resolves according to which team wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup. If it becomes impossible for the named team to win under FIFA rules, for example after elimination, its contract resolves No. If the tournament is canceled, postponed beyond August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by that time, the outcome is Other. The primary source is official FIFA information; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup per the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Editorial summary / translation. Original source rules remain authoritative.
Each contract resolves according to which team wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup. If it becomes impossible for the named team to win under FIFA rules, for example after elimination, its contract resolves No. If the tournament is canceled, postponed beyond August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by that time, the outcome is Other. The primary source is official FIFA information; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Will United States win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?
The United States wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup.
The United States does not win; in particular, if it can no longer win under FIFA rules, the contract resolves No. The specified cancellation, late postponement, or no-winner scenarios resolve to Other.
Will Spain win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?
Spain wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup.
Spain does not win; if it can no longer win under FIFA rules, the contract resolves No. The specified cancellation, late postponement, or no-winner scenarios resolve to Other.
Will England win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?
England wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup.
England does not win; if it can no longer win under FIFA rules, the contract resolves No. The specified cancellation, late postponement, or no-winner scenarios resolve to Other.
Will Germany win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?
Germany wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup.
Germany does not win; if it can no longer win under FIFA rules, the contract resolves No. The specified cancellation, late postponement, or no-winner scenarios resolve to Other.
Will France win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?
France wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup.
France does not win; if it can no longer win under FIFA rules, the contract resolves No. The specified cancellation, late postponement, or no-winner scenarios resolve to Other.
Will Japan win the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup?
Japan wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup.
Japan does not win; if it can no longer win under FIFA rules, the contract resolves No. The specified cancellation, late postponement, or no-winner scenarios resolve to Other.
What counts as a win
Each selected contract asks whether one specific team wins the tournament: the United States, Spain, England, Germany, France, or Japan. Yes means that named team becomes champion, not merely that it reaches the final or achieves another result.
When a team's contract resolves No
If at any point it becomes impossible for the named team to win under FIFA rules, its contract resolves No; elimination is the example given in the rules. This applies to that team's contract, not automatically to every selected team contract.
The cancellation and postponement exception
If the tournament is canceled, postponed beyond August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner has been declared by that time, the rules provide for Other. That scenario should not automatically be read as an ordinary No for each named team.
Resolution source and scope
The primary resolution source is official FIFA information; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This article covers six selected contracts from the event, not every possible tournament outcome.
Reading the conditions: examples
These hypothetical situations illustrate the rules; they do not report actual events.
If: If the United States is eliminated and can no longer win under FIFA rules, the condition for that contract is met.
Under the rules: The United States winner contract resolves No; this does not determine the resolution of contracts for other teams.
If: If the tournament is canceled or postponed beyond August 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Under the rules: The rules provide for Other in that scenario, rather than ordinary No resolution for the team contracts.