A Real Madrid win, a draw and a Villarreal win are shown as separate binary contracts. Only regular time plus stoppage time counts. A past kickoff time does not by itself confirm the result.
Recorded source observations · CLOB price historyOct 4, 2026 — Oct 10, 2026
This number reflects a source price. It is not a certainty, a personal forecast or an executable offer.
CONTRACTS
Outcomes
These contracts ask separate questions. Their probabilities must not be added together.
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?
Yes ✓100%Gamma outcome price · Confirmed outcome
No0%Gamma outcome price
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 10, 2026, 07:00:00 PM UTC
The organizers’ official result for regular time plus stoppage time determines settlement. Postponement keeps the contract open; complete cancellation settles the win contracts to NO and the draw contract to YES. If official statistics are unavailable after two hours, the rules allow Flashscore, then Sofascore and a reporting consensus. If acceptable data remain unavailable for 24 hours, a 50/50 result is possible. Later score revisions after settlement are excluded.
Original source rules (English)
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 10, 2026
If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?
Yes0%Gamma outcome price
No ✓100%Gamma outcome price · Confirmed outcome
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 10, 2026, 07:00:00 PM UTC
The organizers’ official result for regular time plus stoppage time determines settlement. Postponement keeps the contract open; complete cancellation settles the win contracts to NO and the draw contract to YES. If official statistics are unavailable after two hours, the rules allow Flashscore, then Sofascore and a reporting consensus. If acceptable data remain unavailable for 24 hours, a 50/50 result is possible. Later score revisions after settlement are excluded.
Original source rules (English)
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 10, 2026
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 10, 2026, 07:00:00 PM UTC
The organizers’ official result for regular time plus stoppage time determines settlement. Postponement keeps the contract open; complete cancellation settles the win contracts to NO and the draw contract to YES. If official statistics are unavailable after two hours, the rules allow Flashscore, then Sofascore and a reporting consensus. If acceptable data remain unavailable for 24 hours, a 50/50 result is possible. Later score revisions after settlement are excluded.
Original source rules (English)
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 10, 2026
If Villarreal CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Editorial summary / translation. Original source rules remain authoritative.
The organizers’ official result for regular time plus stoppage time determines settlement. Postponement keeps the contract open; complete cancellation settles the win contracts to NO and the draw contract to YES. If official statistics are unavailable after two hours, the rules allow Flashscore, then Sofascore and a reporting consensus. If acceptable data remain unavailable for 24 hours, a 50/50 result is possible. Later score revisions after settlement are excluded.
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