For Yes, the relevant threshold must be reached during October 2026 after market creation and during the primary exchange’s regular trading hours. The upside contract tests $180 or higher, while the downside contracts test their respective levels from $140 to $120 or lower; prices outside regular trading hours do not count.
CONTRACT STATUS
Market status and results
0 of the 6 covered markets resolved. This section covers the contracts selected for this article.
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $180 in October?
Trading open
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $140 in October?
Trading open
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $135 in October?
Trading open
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $130 in October?
Trading open
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $125 in October?
Trading open
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $120 in October?
Trading open
Last successful check:
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $180 in October?
Market estimate / Yes
9%
7 days-22.5 pp
30 days—
Price basis: Bid/ask midpoint
Probability history
Recorded source observations · CLOB price historyOct 13, 2026 — Oct 20, 2026
This number reflects a source price. It is not a certainty, a personal forecast or an executable offer.
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What the displayed probability means
Selected question: “Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $180 in October?”. The “Yes” outcome is priced at 9%. This is a market price for that contract, not a guarantee of the result.
What data is displayed
The selected contracts are listed below with their own outcomes, deadline and original rules. Charts use recorded observations only; period changes require comparable historical data.
CONTRACTS
Outcomes
These contracts ask separate questions. Their probabilities must not be added together.
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $180 in October?
Yes9%Bid/ask midpoint
No91%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Nov 1, 2026, 03:59:59 AM UTC
Yes for the upside contract requires reaching $180 or higher; downside contracts require reaching their respective threshold or lower, only during October 2026 after market creation and during the primary exchange’s regular trading hours. Pre-market and after-hours prices are excluded. Final Pyth one-minute High/Low values are used without rounding. If technical disruption prevents verification, official daily high/low from the primary exchange is used. A split, reverse split or similar corporate action requires adjusted historical Pyth data and a proportionally adjusted target. Otherwise, the outcome is No.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Contract deadline · per API: Nov 1, 2026, 03:59:59 AM UTC
Yes for the upside contract requires reaching $180 or higher; downside contracts require reaching their respective threshold or lower, only during October 2026 after market creation and during the primary exchange’s regular trading hours. Pre-market and after-hours prices are excluded. Final Pyth one-minute High/Low values are used without rounding. If technical disruption prevents verification, official daily high/low from the primary exchange is used. A split, reverse split or similar corporate action requires adjusted historical Pyth data and a proportionally adjusted target. Otherwise, the outcome is No.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Contract deadline · per API: Nov 1, 2026, 03:59:59 AM UTC
Yes for the upside contract requires reaching $180 or higher; downside contracts require reaching their respective threshold or lower, only during October 2026 after market creation and during the primary exchange’s regular trading hours. Pre-market and after-hours prices are excluded. Final Pyth one-minute High/Low values are used without rounding. If technical disruption prevents verification, official daily high/low from the primary exchange is used. A split, reverse split or similar corporate action requires adjusted historical Pyth data and a proportionally adjusted target. Otherwise, the outcome is No.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Contract deadline · per API: Nov 1, 2026, 03:59:59 AM UTC
Yes for the upside contract requires reaching $180 or higher; downside contracts require reaching their respective threshold or lower, only during October 2026 after market creation and during the primary exchange’s regular trading hours. Pre-market and after-hours prices are excluded. Final Pyth one-minute High/Low values are used without rounding. If technical disruption prevents verification, official daily high/low from the primary exchange is used. A split, reverse split or similar corporate action requires adjusted historical Pyth data and a proportionally adjusted target. Otherwise, the outcome is No.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Contract deadline · per API: Nov 1, 2026, 03:59:59 AM UTC
Yes for the upside contract requires reaching $180 or higher; downside contracts require reaching their respective threshold or lower, only during October 2026 after market creation and during the primary exchange’s regular trading hours. Pre-market and after-hours prices are excluded. Final Pyth one-minute High/Low values are used without rounding. If technical disruption prevents verification, official daily high/low from the primary exchange is used. A split, reverse split or similar corporate action requires adjusted historical Pyth data and a proportionally adjusted target. Otherwise, the outcome is No.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Contract deadline · per API: Nov 1, 2026, 03:59:59 AM UTC
Yes for the upside contract requires reaching $180 or higher; downside contracts require reaching their respective threshold or lower, only during October 2026 after market creation and during the primary exchange’s regular trading hours. Pre-market and after-hours prices are excluded. Final Pyth one-minute High/Low values are used without rounding. If technical disruption prevents verification, official daily high/low from the primary exchange is used. A split, reverse split or similar corporate action requires adjusted historical Pyth data and a proportionally adjusted target. Otherwise, the outcome is No.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Editorial summary / translation. Original source rules remain authoritative.
Yes for the upside contract requires reaching $180 or higher; downside contracts require reaching their respective threshold or lower, only during October 2026 after market creation and during the primary exchange’s regular trading hours. Pre-market and after-hours prices are excluded. Final Pyth one-minute High/Low values are used without rounding. If technical disruption prevents verification, official daily high/low from the primary exchange is used. A split, reverse split or similar corporate action requires adjusted historical Pyth data and a proportionally adjusted target. Otherwise, the outcome is No.
PolymarketStars does not execute trades. Platform availability and terms are determined by Polymarket.
During October 2026 after market creation, a qualifying price reaches $180 or higher in the primary exchange’s regular hours. Verification uses final Pyth one-minute High/Low values without rounding, or official exchange daily high/low if technical disruption prevents verification. Corporate-action adjustments apply to prices and the target.
No threshold reach qualifies during that period under the specified check, including the fallback and adjustments. Prices outside the primary exchange’s regular hours are excluded.
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $140 in October?
During October 2026 after market creation, a qualifying price reaches $140 or lower in the primary exchange’s regular hours. Use final Pyth one-minute High/Low values without rounding, or official exchange daily high/low if technical disruption prevents verification; corporate-action adjustments apply to prices and the target.
No qualifying reach of $140 or lower occurs during the specified period, accounting for the fallback and adjustments. Prices outside the primary exchange’s regular hours are excluded.
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $135 in October?
During October 2026 after market creation, a qualifying price reaches $135 or lower in the primary exchange’s regular hours. Use final Pyth one-minute High/Low values without rounding, or official exchange daily high/low if technical disruption prevents verification; corporate-action adjustments apply to prices and the target.
No qualifying reach of $135 or lower occurs during the specified period, accounting for the fallback and adjustments. Prices outside the primary exchange’s regular hours are excluded.
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $130 in October?
During October 2026 after market creation, a qualifying price reaches $130 or lower in the primary exchange’s regular hours. Use final Pyth one-minute High/Low values without rounding, or official exchange daily high/low if technical disruption prevents verification; corporate-action adjustments apply to prices and the target.
No qualifying reach of $130 or lower occurs during the specified period, accounting for the fallback and adjustments. Prices outside the primary exchange’s regular hours are excluded.
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $125 in October?
During October 2026 after market creation, a qualifying price reaches $125 or lower in the primary exchange’s regular hours. Use final Pyth one-minute High/Low values without rounding, or official exchange daily high/low if technical disruption prevents verification; corporate-action adjustments apply to prices and the target.
No qualifying reach of $125 or lower occurs during the specified period, accounting for the fallback and adjustments. Prices outside the primary exchange’s regular hours are excluded.
Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $120 in October?
During October 2026 after market creation, a qualifying price reaches $120 or lower in the primary exchange’s regular hours. Use final Pyth one-minute High/Low values without rounding, or official exchange daily high/low if technical disruption prevents verification; corporate-action adjustments apply to prices and the target.
No qualifying reach of $120 or lower occurs during the specified period, accounting for the fallback and adjustments. Prices outside the primary exchange’s regular hours are excluded.
How reaching a threshold is measured
The primary source is the final High and Low values of Pyth’s one-minute SPCX candles. Prices are used without rounding; only observations during October 2026 after market creation count, not the entire period since creation.
Only the primary exchange’s regular trading hours count—typically 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM ET under the rules. Pre-market and after-hours prices are excluded. If a technical disruption prevents verification of the required Pyth minute data, the primary exchange’s official daily high and low for the applicable session are used.
How the selected contracts differ
This explainer covers one upside contract at $180 and five downside contracts at $140, $135, $130, $125 and $120. These are selected contracts, not a list of every contract in the event. They test separate thresholds rather than mutually exclusive outcomes; their probabilities must not be added together.
If a stock split, reverse split or similar corporate action occurs during the specified period, adjusted historical Pyth data is used. The target is also adjusted proportionally, so the comparison must use consistently adjusted prices and thresholds.
Conditional reading examples
If a Pyth one-minute candle’s final High reaches $180 during October 2026 after market creation and during the primary exchange’s regular hours, the upside Yes condition is met, subject to the specified corporate-action adjustments. The same value occurring only after hours does not establish Yes.
If a qualifying minute candle records a Low of $130, that satisfies the $130 downside threshold but does not by itself establish a reach of $120. No on the $120 contract requires no qualifying reach of that level or lower throughout the applicable period, applying the specified adjustments and fallback source when necessary.
Reading the conditions: examples
These hypothetical situations illustrate the rules; they do not report actual events.
If: If a Pyth one-minute candle’s final High reaches $180 during October 2026 after market creation and during the primary exchange’s regular hours.
Under the rules: The upside Yes condition is met, subject to the specified corporate-action adjustments. The same value occurring only after hours does not establish Yes.
If: If a qualifying minute candle records a Low of $130.
Under the rules: That satisfies the $130 downside threshold but does not by itself establish a reach of $120. No on the $120 contract requires no qualifying reach of that level or lower throughout the applicable period, applying the specified adjustments and fallback source when necessary.
