0 of the 6 covered markets resolved. This section covers the contracts selected for this article.
Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
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Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
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Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Trading open
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Trading open
Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
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Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
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Last successful check:
Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Market estimate / Yes
0.1%
7 days-0.1 pp
30 days-0.3 pp
Price basis: Bid/ask midpoint
Probability history
Recorded source observations · CLOB price historyOct 11, 2026 — Oct 18, 2026
This number reflects a source price. It is not a certainty, a personal forecast or an executable offer.
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What the displayed probability means
Selected question: “Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?”. The “Yes” outcome is priced at 0.1%. This is a market price for that contract, not a guarantee of the result.
What data is displayed
The selected contracts are listed below with their own outcomes, deadline and original rules. Charts use recorded observations only; period changes require comparable historical data.
CONTRACTS
Outcomes
These contracts ask separate questions. Their probabilities must not be added together.
Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes0.1%Bid/ask midpoint
No100%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Nov 4, 2026, 04:59:00 AM UTC
All six contracts use identical rules for the Alaska gubernatorial election scheduled for November 3, 2026, differing only in the named candidate. Yes corresponds to that candidate winning, and No to another candidate winning under the resolution rules. Resolution follows a call for the same candidate by the Associated Press, Fox News and NBC; absent that agreement, it is based on official certification. If results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the rules specify Other. They do not separately explain how Other is technically applied to the listed binary Yes/No outcomes.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes0.4%Bid/ask midpoint
No99.6%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Nov 4, 2026, 04:59:00 AM UTC
All six contracts use identical rules for the Alaska gubernatorial election scheduled for November 3, 2026, differing only in the named candidate. Yes corresponds to that candidate winning, and No to another candidate winning under the resolution rules. Resolution follows a call for the same candidate by the Associated Press, Fox News and NBC; absent that agreement, it is based on official certification. If results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the rules specify Other. They do not separately explain how Other is technically applied to the listed binary Yes/No outcomes.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes0.1%Bid/ask midpoint
No100%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Nov 4, 2026, 04:59:00 AM UTC
All six contracts use identical rules for the Alaska gubernatorial election scheduled for November 3, 2026, differing only in the named candidate. Yes corresponds to that candidate winning, and No to another candidate winning under the resolution rules. Resolution follows a call for the same candidate by the Associated Press, Fox News and NBC; absent that agreement, it is based on official certification. If results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the rules specify Other. They do not separately explain how Other is technically applied to the listed binary Yes/No outcomes.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes0.1%Bid/ask midpoint
No100%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Nov 4, 2026, 04:59:00 AM UTC
All six contracts use identical rules for the Alaska gubernatorial election scheduled for November 3, 2026, differing only in the named candidate. Yes corresponds to that candidate winning, and No to another candidate winning under the resolution rules. Resolution follows a call for the same candidate by the Associated Press, Fox News and NBC; absent that agreement, it is based on official certification. If results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the rules specify Other. They do not separately explain how Other is technically applied to the listed binary Yes/No outcomes.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes0.1%Bid/ask midpoint
No100%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Nov 4, 2026, 04:59:00 AM UTC
All six contracts use identical rules for the Alaska gubernatorial election scheduled for November 3, 2026, differing only in the named candidate. Yes corresponds to that candidate winning, and No to another candidate winning under the resolution rules. Resolution follows a call for the same candidate by the Associated Press, Fox News and NBC; absent that agreement, it is based on official certification. If results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the rules specify Other. They do not separately explain how Other is technically applied to the listed binary Yes/No outcomes.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes0.1%Bid/ask midpoint
No100%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Nov 4, 2026, 04:59:00 AM UTC
All six contracts use identical rules for the Alaska gubernatorial election scheduled for November 3, 2026, differing only in the named candidate. Yes corresponds to that candidate winning, and No to another candidate winning under the resolution rules. Resolution follows a call for the same candidate by the Associated Press, Fox News and NBC; absent that agreement, it is based on official certification. If results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the rules specify Other. They do not separately explain how Other is technically applied to the listed binary Yes/No outcomes.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Editorial summary / translation. Original source rules remain authoritative.
All six contracts use identical rules for the Alaska gubernatorial election scheduled for November 3, 2026, differing only in the named candidate. Yes corresponds to that candidate winning, and No to another candidate winning under the resolution rules. Resolution follows a call for the same candidate by the Associated Press, Fox News and NBC; absent that agreement, it is based on official certification. If results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the rules specify Other. They do not separately explain how Other is technically applied to the listed binary Yes/No outcomes.
PolymarketStars does not execute trades. Platform availability and terms are determined by Polymarket.
These contracts concern the winner of the Alaska gubernatorial election scheduled for November 3, 2026. Each asks whether a named candidate will win; the outcome follows specified resolution sources, with a separate exception if results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027.
Which contracts are covered
This selection covers questions about Click Bishop, David Bronson, Adam Crum, Nancy Dahlstrom, Edna DeVries and Matt Heilala winning. These are selected contracts, not a complete list of the event’s outcomes. Their rules are identical; the distinction is the candidate whose victory each question tests.
What Yes and No mean
Yes means the candidate named in the question wins the 2026 gubernatorial election as determined under the resolution rules. If another candidate is determined to be the winner under those rules, the answer is No. A No on Bishop, for example, does not automatically mean Bronson or any other particular candidate in this selection wins.
How the winner is determined
The rules name three sources: the Associated Press, Fox News and NBC. The market resolves once all three call the race for the same candidate. A call by only one or two sources does not satisfy that condition.
If all three sources have not called the Alaska race for the same candidate, the rules provide for resolution based on official certification. A unanimous media call and official certification are therefore specified resolution bases, not interchangeable individual reports.
The Other exception and timing
If election results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the rules specify resolution to Other. This exception appears in all six selected contracts even though their listed outcomes are Yes and No. The supplied rules do not separately explain the technical application of Other to these binary contracts.
The scheduled election date is not a promise of same-day resolution. Trading closure or a listed end date also does not prove that the result has been confirmed: market timing must be distinguished from fulfillment of the resolution conditions.
