0 of the 6 covered markets resolved. This section covers the contracts selected for this article.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 21?
Trading open
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21?
Trading open
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 21?
Trading open
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 21?
Trading open
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21?
Trading open
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21?
Trading open
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POLYMARKETSTARS EDITORIALRU / EN
The selected Polymarket contracts ask whether Bitcoin will be strictly above a stated threshold on October 21, 2026. The deciding observation is not the day's high or any touch of the level: it is the final Close of the Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET.
Which thresholds are covered
This selection covers six contracts: above $72,000, $74,000, $76,000, $78,000, $80,000 and $82,000. They share the same price source and observation time; only the threshold differs. This selection is not presented as the full list of contracts in the event.
What produces Yes or No
For each threshold, Yes requires the specified candle's final Close to be strictly higher than that threshold. A price equal to or below the threshold produces No. Trading above the level earlier in the day does not by itself satisfy the condition.
The thresholds are not mutually exclusive outcomes. If the reference Close is strictly above $82,000, all six selected contracts satisfy their Yes condition. If the Close is exactly $80,000, the above-$80,000 and above-$82,000 contracts produce No, while the four lower thresholds produce Yes.
The exact candle and price source
The rules specify the one-minute candle closing at noon ET on October 21, not the candle starting at that time and not the daily close. The source is Binance BTC/USDT with Candles and the 1m interval selected.
A price from another exchange or another trading pair does not replace Binance BTC/USDT. Comparison precision follows the number of decimal places in the source; the rules do not specify separate rounding to whole dollars.
Observation time is not confirmed resolution
The observation time identifies which price to compare with the threshold. The listed end date alone does not prove that an outcome has been confirmed: trading closure, a proposed result, a disputed result and final resolution are distinct states.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 21?
Market estimate / Yes
99.2%
7 days—
30 days—
Price basis: Bid/ask midpoint
Probability history
Recorded source observations · CLOB price historyOct 14, 2026 — Oct 17, 2026
This number reflects a source price. It is not a certainty, a personal forecast or an executable offer.
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What the displayed probability means
Selected question: “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 21?”. The “Yes” outcome is priced at 99.2%. This is a market price for that contract, not a guarantee of the result.
What data is displayed
The selected contracts are listed below with their own outcomes, deadline and original rules. Charts use recorded observations only; period changes require comparable historical data.
CONTRACTS
Outcomes
These contracts ask separate questions. Their probabilities must not be added together.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 21?
Yes99.2%Bid/ask midpoint
No0.9%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 21, 2026, 04:00:00 PM UTC
The selected $72,000, $74,000, $76,000, $78,000, $80,000 and $82,000 thresholds share one rule: Yes if the final Close of the Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET on October 21, 2026 is strictly above the respective contract's threshold; otherwise No, including exact equality. The source is Binance BTC/USDT with Candles and 1m selected, not other exchanges or pairs. Precision follows the source's decimal places.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21?
Yes98.6%Bid/ask midpoint
No1.5%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 21, 2026, 04:00:00 PM UTC
The selected $72,000, $74,000, $76,000, $78,000, $80,000 and $82,000 thresholds share one rule: Yes if the final Close of the Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET on October 21, 2026 is strictly above the respective contract's threshold; otherwise No, including exact equality. The source is Binance BTC/USDT with Candles and 1m selected, not other exchanges or pairs. Precision follows the source's decimal places.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 21?
Yes97.2%Bid/ask midpoint
No2.9%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 21, 2026, 04:00:00 PM UTC
The selected $72,000, $74,000, $76,000, $78,000, $80,000 and $82,000 thresholds share one rule: Yes if the final Close of the Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET on October 21, 2026 is strictly above the respective contract's threshold; otherwise No, including exact equality. The source is Binance BTC/USDT with Candles and 1m selected, not other exchanges or pairs. Precision follows the source's decimal places.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 21?
Yes92.5%Bid/ask midpoint
No7.5%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 21, 2026, 04:00:00 PM UTC
The selected $72,000, $74,000, $76,000, $78,000, $80,000 and $82,000 thresholds share one rule: Yes if the final Close of the Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET on October 21, 2026 is strictly above the respective contract's threshold; otherwise No, including exact equality. The source is Binance BTC/USDT with Candles and 1m selected, not other exchanges or pairs. Precision follows the source's decimal places.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21?
Yes75%Bid/ask midpoint
No25%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 21, 2026, 04:00:00 PM UTC
The selected $72,000, $74,000, $76,000, $78,000, $80,000 and $82,000 thresholds share one rule: Yes if the final Close of the Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET on October 21, 2026 is strictly above the respective contract's threshold; otherwise No, including exact equality. The source is Binance BTC/USDT with Candles and 1m selected, not other exchanges or pairs. Precision follows the source's decimal places.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21?
Yes43.5%Bid/ask midpoint
No56.5%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Oct 21, 2026, 04:00:00 PM UTC
The selected $72,000, $74,000, $76,000, $78,000, $80,000 and $82,000 thresholds share one rule: Yes if the final Close of the Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET on October 21, 2026 is strictly above the respective contract's threshold; otherwise No, including exact equality. The source is Binance BTC/USDT with Candles and 1m selected, not other exchanges or pairs. Precision follows the source's decimal places.
Original source rules (English)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Editorial summary / translation. Original source rules remain authoritative.
The selected $72,000, $74,000, $76,000, $78,000, $80,000 and $82,000 thresholds share one rule: Yes if the final Close of the Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle closing at 12:00 noon ET on October 21, 2026 is strictly above the respective contract's threshold; otherwise No, including exact equality. The source is Binance BTC/USDT with Candles and 1m selected, not other exchanges or pairs. Precision follows the source's decimal places.
PolymarketStars does not execute trades. Platform availability and terms are determined by Polymarket.
