Three selected contracts from a Polymarket event: $90,000, $100,000 and the resolved $85,000 threshold. Threshold questions are independent; their estimates must not be added to 100%.
Recorded source observations · CLOB price historyOct 9, 2026 — Oct 16, 2026
This number reflects a source price. It is not a certainty, a personal forecast or an executable offer.
CONTRACTS
Outcomes
These contracts ask separate questions. Their probabilities must not be added together.
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?
Yes17.5%Bid/ask midpoint
No82.5%Bid/ask midpoint
Contract deadline · per API: Nov 1, 2026, 04:00:00 AM UTC
YES requires the high of a finalized one-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle to reach the specified threshold during October in ET. Other exchanges and pairs do not qualify. This is an editorial summary; each contract retains its exact original rules.
Original source rules (English)
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Contract deadline · per API: Nov 1, 2026, 04:00:00 AM UTC
YES requires the high of a finalized one-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle to reach the specified threshold during October in ET. Other exchanges and pairs do not qualify. This is an editorial summary; each contract retains its exact original rules.
Original source rules (English)
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Contract deadline · per API: Nov 1, 2026, 04:00:00 AM UTC
YES requires the high of a finalized one-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle to reach the specified threshold during October in ET. Other exchanges and pairs do not qualify. This is an editorial summary; each contract retains its exact original rules.
Original source rules (English)
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Editorial summary / translation. Original source rules remain authoritative.
YES requires the high of a finalized one-minute Binance BTC/USDT candle to reach the specified threshold during October in ET. Other exchanges and pairs do not qualify. This is an editorial summary; each contract retains its exact original rules.
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