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Ethereum price thresholds in October 2026

Two contracts ask whether ETH will reach $3,200 and $3,300 during October. Both thresholds can be reached, so these are independent binary questions rather than mutually exclusive choices.

Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?

Market estimate / Yes

2.3%
7 days-1.5 pp
30 days—

Price basis: Bid/ask midpoint

Probability history

0%50%100%
Recorded source observations · CLOB price historyOct 9, 2026 — Oct 16, 2026

This number reflects a source price. It is not a certainty, a personal forecast or an executable offer.

CONTRACTS

Outcomes

These contracts ask separate questions. Their probabilities must not be added together.

Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?

Yes2.3%Bid/ask midpoint
No97.7%Bid/ask midpoint

Contract deadline · per API: Nov 1, 2026, 04:00:00 AM UTC

Settlement uses the finalized high of a one-minute Binance ETH/USDT candle from 00:00 ET on October 1 through 23:59 ET on October 31. Meeting or exceeding the relevant threshold qualifies for YES. Other exchanges and pairs are excluded.

Original source rules (English)

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Rules version: bec0d733c9dc06fbdcd29fcce0c3229ad2c4c00115e6e06252b728efbcfa0eec

Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October?

Yes1.1%Bid/ask midpoint
No98.9%Bid/ask midpoint

Contract deadline · per API: Nov 1, 2026, 04:00:00 AM UTC

Settlement uses the finalized high of a one-minute Binance ETH/USDT candle from 00:00 ET on October 1 through 23:59 ET on October 31. Meeting or exceeding the relevant threshold qualifies for YES. Other exchanges and pairs are excluded.

Original source rules (English)

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Rules version: a676151c6fb76a2dce7e09f48b16cc157587ca85391ab91c75a79ec90adc6727

How this question resolves

Editorial summary / translation. Original source rules remain authoritative.

Settlement uses the finalized high of a one-minute Binance ETH/USDT candle from 00:00 ET on October 1 through 23:59 ET on October 31. Meeting or exceeding the relevant threshold qualifies for YES. Other exchanges and pairs are excluded.

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