Economy
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0.5%
-0.3 pp · 7 days
Jan 1, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Topics
Economy
Central bank decisions and economic indicators. Check units, reporting periods and the specified source: an initial release and a later revision may lead to different results.
Current questions
Economy
October 2026 Fed decision on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
86.5%
+3 pp · 7 days
Oct 29, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Economy
December 2026 Fed decision contracts
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
21.5%
-1 pp · 7 days
Dec 9, 2026
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
Economy
The Fed rate at the end of 2026
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
0.3%
0 pp · 7 days
Jan 1, 2027
SOURCE SNAPSHOT
How to read these markets
All guidesEconomy · one FOMC decision01
A Fed decision on Polymarket: reading the FOMC rate step
Read a Fed decision market: the specific FOMC meeting, upper rate bound, basis points, a hold and the contract's rounding rule.
Read the guideEconomy · the final rate level02
The year-end Fed rate: range versus upper bound on Polymarket
Read the final Fed rate: target range, upper bound, post-meeting observation, categories and the difference from cut counts or level touches.
Read the guideEconomy · the release calendar03
When economic data is released: timing Polymarket markets
Check CPI, GDP and FOMC calendars: reference period, ET release time, publication date, estimate vintages and contract-defined delay handling.
Read the guide